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Author: Subject: 3A playoff bracket prediction - [26 Replies | 2735 Views]
shawnkocher
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posted on 10/25/17 at 01:28 PM Reply With Quote
3A playoff bracket prediction

I've attached PDF of my 3A bracket prediction based on current data on MaxPreps.

[Edited on 10/25/17 by shawnkocher]

Attachment: Playoff_Seedings_3A.pdf (106.62kb)
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asheborosoccerdad
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posted on 10/26/17 at 12:03 PM Reply With Quote


[Edited on 10/26/17 by asheborosoccerdad]


Stop living through you child and let them play.

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asheborosoccerdad
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posted on 10/26/17 at 12:04 PM Reply With Quote
Asheboro and Southwestern Randolph are both under ranked. They played to a 2-2 tie that went to kicks with Southwestern Randolph winning. If Williams and Southwestern win out they will be tied and will have to play a tiebreaker game.


Stop living through you child and let them play.

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Tecnico_CH17
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posted on 10/26/17 at 02:09 PM Reply With Quote
^He hasn't updated it following the games played yesterday. It will be a little different than it is right now.
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Buzzmember5
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posted on 10/27/17 at 07:33 AM Reply With Quote
SWR won the coin flip/ draw over Williams.
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shawnkocher
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posted on 10/27/17 at 07:48 AM Reply With Quote
This is my guess based on MaxPreps data as of 8:45am on 10/27. In the case of conference ties, I did not try to figure out the tie-breaker, so there could be some issues there. Best of luck to everybody.

Attachment: Playoff_Seedings_3A_20171027_0845.pdf (106.63kb)
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jshmrt20
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posted on 10/27/17 at 08:13 AM Reply With Quote
AC Reynolds is the conference champs over Asheville. They will go in as the #1 seed in the west.
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posted on 10/27/17 at 08:22 AM Reply With Quote
Some good matchups!!
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sweep the leg
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posted on 10/27/17 at 08:34 AM Reply With Quote
Thanks for the information and work you put in, awesome to have an early idea of the brackets.
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posted on 10/27/17 at 09:11 AM Reply With Quote
Seeding

Southwest Guilford is the conference #1 seed over Parkland based on tiebreaker. Parkland cannot be a higher seed in the West bracket than SW Guilford.
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shawnkocher
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posted on 10/27/17 at 12:41 PM Reply With Quote
Didn't Parkland beat SW Guilford twice?

Quote:
Originally posted by Johne27215

Southwest Guilford is the conference #1 seed over Parkland based on tiebreaker. Parkland cannot be a higher seed in the West bracket than SW Guilford.


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shawnkocher
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posted on 10/27/17 at 12:59 PM Reply With Quote
Thanks for the feedback everybody. I made some changes based on your comments regarding coin-flips, tie-breakers. I didn't change Parkland / SW Guilford yet as I don't understand how SW Guilford could win a tie-breaker over Parkland if Parkland beat them 2x. Good luck to all.

Attachment: Playoff_Seedings_3A_20171027_1400.pdf (106.63kb)
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goheels
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posted on 10/27/17 at 03:19 PM Reply With Quote
MaxPreps shows SW Guilford beating Parkland twice, not the other way around.
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shawnkocher
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posted on 10/27/17 at 03:24 PM Reply With Quote
Quote:
Originally posted by goheels

MaxPreps shows SW Guilford beating Parkland twice, not the other way around.




Ahhh...you are correct! I guess I'm looking at these numbers too much!! Mixed 'em up.

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shawnkocher
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posted on 10/27/17 at 03:28 PM Reply With Quote
One more update attached.

Attachment: Playoff_Seedings_3A_20171027_1625.pdf (106.62kb)
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shawnkocher
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posted on 10/28/17 at 08:22 AM Reply With Quote
There were some matches played last night (and I think one more to be played today).

I've updated my prediction and attached the bracket as well as a detailed filed of some of the underlying numbers.

#GoChargers!

Attachment: 3A_bracket.pdf (106.63kb)
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Attachment: 3A_detail.pdf (72.9kb)
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wolfpackgk
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posted on 10/29/17 at 07:44 AM Reply With Quote
Awesome job on the projections. Just a few things I saw on the 3A East side that will help. New Hanover, DH Conley, and Cape Fear were all from split conferences and did not finish as the #2 seed. They should be seeded as wild cards instead of with the #2 seeds. Other than that, great job! That was a huge help.
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jshmrt20
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posted on 10/29/17 at 08:33 AM Reply With Quote
I am curious as to if MaxPreps will update the rankings after Friday’s and Saturday’s games. Rankings are updated on Tuesdays and Fridays so I wonder how they will deal with those late games. I tend to believe that the rankings are set, but I could be wrong.
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shawnkocher
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posted on 10/29/17 at 11:36 AM Reply With Quote
I was wondering the same thing. I built a process to automatically pull the entire NC MaxPreps rankings into an excel spreadsheet. It will compare the previous data set to the current one. I’ll check it again later today to see if there was any movement since Friday.
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shawnkocher
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posted on 10/29/17 at 01:01 PM Reply With Quote
Quote:
Originally posted by shawnkocher

I was wondering the same thing. I built a process to automatically pull the entire NC MaxPreps rankings into an excel spreadsheet. It will compare the previous data set to the current one. I’ll check it again later today to see if there was any movement since Friday.



There have been no changes in Rankings since Friday.

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